Exit Polls 2024: The Assembly Elections wrapped up on October 5, 2024. Now, both Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir await exciting political changes. Polling agencies are busy sharing their exit poll predictions. It looks like Congress is ahead in Haryana. In contrast, Jammu and Kashmir may see a hung assembly. This means no single party might gain a clear majority.
Congress on Track for Majority in Haryana Exit Polls 2024
In the Haryana Assembly elections 2024, Congress looks set for a big win. Exit polls suggest the party could take between 52 and 62 seats. With 90 seats in total, a party needs at least 46 seats to form the government. The Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is trying for a third straight term but is likely to win only 18 to 29 seats. This puts them far below the number needed for a majority.
Haryana Exit Poll Results:
| Polling Agency | Congress (Seats) | BJP (Seats) | JJP (Seats) | INLD (Seats) | Others (Seats) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dainik Bhaskar | 44-54 | 19-29 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Republic-Matrize | 55-62 | 18-24 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| India Today-C Voter | 50-58 | 20-28 | 0-3 | 3-6 | 10-16 |
These predictions show that Congress is likely to win a clear majority. Meanwhile, the BJP is falling behind. The Jannayak Janta Party (JJP), which was important in the past, might not win many seats this time. Other parties, like the Indian National Lok Dal (INLD) and independent candidates, are expected to play a minor role in this election.
Jammu and Kashmir Exit Polls 2024 Predicts Hung Assembly
In Jammu and Kashmir, exit polls indicate a less certain outcome. The alliance between the National Conference and Congress is expected to be the largest group. However, they may still fall short of the majority mark.
Jammu and Kashmir Exit Poll Results:
| Polling Agency | NC-Congress (Seats) | BJP (Seats) | PDP (Seats) | Others (Seats) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| India Today-C Voter | 40-48 | 23-27 | 6-12 | 6-11 |
| Axis My India | 35-45 | 24-34 | 4-6 | 8-27 |
| Peoples Pulse | 33-35 | 23-27 | 7-11 | 4-5 |
These predictions indicate a potential hung assembly in Jammu and Kashmir. The National Conference-Congress alliance is expected to lead, with the BJP gaining a notable share but likely falling short. The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) may capture some seats, but not enough to shift the balance. Independents and smaller parties could play a crucial role in government formation.
BJP Faces Setbacks in Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir
The exit polls reveal a challenging situation for the BJP in both states. In Haryana, the BJP had secured 40 seats in the 2019 assembly elections but now seems to be struggling to retain power. The dissolution of the BJP-JJP alliance, which led to the resignation of Chief Minister Manohar Lal Khattar, might have influenced voter sentiment.
In Jammu and Kashmir, the BJP is also facing an uphill battle. Although the party is expected to win a respectable number of seats, it is unlikely to reach a majority or pose a serious challenge to the National Conference-Congress alliance. The fractured vote across multiple parties, including the PDP, may dilute the overall seat share of the BJP.
Assembly Election 2024 Results Date
As voters in both Haryana and Jammu and Kashmir await the final results on October 8, the exit polls have set the stage for a suspenseful outcome. The political dynamics in both regions are complex, with coalition talks likely to dominate the post-election period. Whether Congress can capitalize on its projected leads or whether unexpected alliances emerge, only time will tell.
The Assembly Election 2024 has demonstrated that voters in both states are open to change, and the final count will determine whether the BJP can bounce back or whether the Congress-National Conference alliance will steer a new political direction.
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