Putin’s invasion of Ukraine as a first step in reestablishing a Russian empire has had the opposite effect. The war has diminished his ability to strong-arm Russia’s neighbours. When Azerbaijan fought a border skirmish with Armenia last year, Russia refused to intervene on Armenia’s behalf, even though it is Armenia’s formal ally.
A similar dynamic is at play in Kazakhstan. Had Kyiv relented, Putin might have decided to invade Kazakhstan next: the former Soviet republic has a large ethnic Russian population, and Putin does not care for international borders. A different possibility now looms: if the Kremlin were to undergo regime change, it might free Kazakhstan from Russia’s grasp entirely, allowing the country to serve as a safe haven for Russians in exile. That would be far from the only change in the region. In the South Caucasus and Moldova, old conflicts could revive and intensify. Ankara could continue to support its partner Azerbaijan against Armenia. Were Turkey to lose its fear of Russian angst, it might urge Azerbaijan to press forward with further attacks on Armenia. In Syria, Turkey would have reason to step up its military presence if Russia were to fall back.
Putin suffering from Cancer and Parkinson’s disease
Meanwhile, Russian President Vladimir Putin is dogged by rumours of his ill health and is suspected of suffering from Cancer. Putin has reportedly been receiving Western treatment for his ailment to be able to continue directing his troops in the Ukraine war.
It’s been claimed the Russian leader, who turned 70 years old more than two months ago, is fighting both pancreatic and prostate cancer, as well as Parkinson’s disease.
His supposed health battle has been the central focus of his public appearances, with President Putin seen at times uncontrollably shaking, twitching and being restless.
Russian historian and analyst Valery Solovey believes that Western medicine is allegedly being used to slow the spread of cancer and prolong President Putin’s life.
But he claimed “the end is already in sight, even according to the doctors who are treating him have suggested that the medicine could only help for not a longer period.
A leaked email citing Kremlin sources in November claimed that the Russian President was in the early stages of Parkinson’s and battling two types of cancer. Putin is believed to be regularly stuffed with all kinds of heavy steroids and innovative painkilling injections to stop the spread of pancreatic cancer. It not only causes a lot of pain, but Putin also has a state of puffiness of the face and other side effects – including memory lapses.
It was also reported that the Russian leader had fallen down a flight of stairs and soiled himself earlier this month, a claim his office argued was “completely untrue”.
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Putin may step down in 2023…
Russian historian and analyst Valery Solovey believes 2023 will be the final year in power for President Putin before his Agriculture Minister Dmitry Patrushev, will take over. Dmitry Patrushev is the son of his trusted security aide Nikolai Patrushev.
Solovey also claimed 2023 would likely be President Putin’s final year in power before he voluntarily steps down or is forced to hand the reigns to someone else.
An early solution to the Ukraine issue looks imminent
All these do not appear to be preposterous after the Russian strongman declared in a latest interview that he was “ready to negotiate” with all parties about potential “solutions” to end the Ukraine war conflict.
“We are ready to negotiate with everyone involved about acceptable solutions, but that is up to them – we are not the ones refusing to negotiate, they are,” he said blaming the West in a Rossiya 1 state television interview aired on Christmas Day.
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